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December 15, 2006

Review of Defensive Low PE Portfolio



This portfolio is made up of the 15 defensive stocks that are trading at the lowest PE Ratio.  The first week of each month we will review the list, and make any trades necessary to get the portfolio to match the list.  Every week we will examine the portfolio's performance against the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, and reinvest any dividends.  The list of defensive stocks is made by following modernized Benjamin Graham strategies, and PE Ratio is calculated using an average of the previous 5 years' earnings per share (EPS).

We have decided to provide the list of Defensive Low PE stocks on a weekly basis.  The portfolio will continue to be rebalanced once a month, but the actual list will be posted every week.

Here is this week's list of Defensive Low PE stocks:

TOA
TECHNICAL OLYMPIC
SPF
STANDARD PACIFIC
OFG
ORIENTAL FINANCIAL
MHO
M/I HOMES, INC.
MDC
M.D.C. HOLDINGS, INC
ASH
ASHLAND INC
HOV
HOVNANIAN ENTERPRISE
DLX
DELUXE CORPORATION
FBP
FIRST BANCORP
CTX
CENTEX CORP
OSG
OVERSEAS SHIPHOLDING
STTX
STEEL TECHNOLOGIES
KBH
KB HOME
RYL
RYLAND GROUP, INC
MTH
MERITAGE HOMES CORP

There were a number of transaction this time as we updated our formulas and reinvested some dividends.

This portfolio outperformed the Dow and S&P500 indexes during the period and has done so overall.

The snapshot:

Ticker Total Cost Current Value % Gain/Loss
ASH $7,532.50 $7,918.90 5.13%
CTX $7,578.90 $7,569.45 -0.12%
DLX
$7,576.20 $7,567.05 -0.12%
FBP
$7,784.35 $7,776.30 -0.10%
HOV
$7,509.60 $7,499.10 -0.14%
KBH $6,615.98 $8,038.25 21.50%
MDC
$6,581.70 $8,484.79 28.91%
MHO
$7,767.45 $7,757.20 -0.13%
MTH $7,638.40 $7,628.80 -0.13%
OFG $7,772.00 $7,760.40 -0.15%
OSG
$7,445.00 $7,435.00 -0.13%
RYL
$6,454.10 $8,687.28 34.60%
SPF
$6,534.41 $7,493.59 14.68%
STTX $7,799.40 $7,791.00 -0.11%
TOA $7,808.50 $7,800.45 -0.10%
Cash   $209.78  
Realized   $10,613.48  
       
Total $100,000.00 $117,417.34 17.42%

Performance:

  10/27/06 12/15/06
Change Overall
S&P 1389.08 1425.49 2.62% 12.08%
Dow 12163.66 12416.76 2.08% 11.62%
Portfolio 110121.12 117417.34 6.63% 17.42%

Neither of us holds a position in any of these stocks.  Please review our disclaimer and Our Methods.

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Comments



The defensive low PE portfolio consisted almost entirely of homebuilders. What has the return been for the year? I guess there is some sort of lesson here regarding the need for diversification. Also, has the portfolio changed now that the homebuilders no longer have earnings?

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